Although I haven't seen every movie or performance nominated this year; I have seen most. A self-proclaimed movie buff and disciple of the Academy Awards I know winners come from a flick you haven't heard that much about. So based on what I've seen are my predictions for the 2011 awards.
BEST PICTURE:
The winner will be "SOCIAL NETWORK". Not necessarily the one I enjoyed the most but, my pic to take home the gold. Millions are a part of this FACEBOOK phenomenon that hasn't even been around for ten years and I predict the Academy will single out this testament to our times. I've seen nine out of the ten nominated and, though I truly think they are all great not all of them will appeal to the masses as this one does.
Not everyone will care to see Woody in "Toy Story 3", a Lesbian family in "The Kids Are All Right", the dark story of "The Black Swan" or royal watching in "The King's Speech". Nor will they necessarily embrace the story about boxing "The Fighter" or a western "True Grit". "Inception" was too deep for so many and "147 Hours" is not for the squeamish.
UPSET WINNER - "The Black Swan"
BEST ACTOR
The winner will be COLIN FIRTH. He is up again Jeff Bridges this year and it is his time. I get Jesse Eisenberg and Mark Zuckerburg mixed up when I see them which means there was some outstanding acting going on there. Sorry Javier....I haven't seen your performance but, you've won already. James Franco....you carried an entire movie and, to me, your performance was the best. You should just enjoy the glory of hosting this year. Your time will come.
UPSET WINNER - James Franco
BEST ACTRESS
The winner will be NATALIE PORTMAN. The "Golden Globes" and "SAG" Awards pretty much say it all. Plus, though disturbing, her performance in "The Black Swan" was amazing. Not even thirty, her impressive resume will land her the well deserved prize.
The only other female work I've seen in this category is Annette Bening's turn as a Lesbian surgeon in "The Kids Are All Right". Pretty remarkable considering she is the long time wife of one of Hollywood's great leading men.......I've loved Michelle Williams since she was the best of "Dawson's Creek" but, this is not her year either.....Nicole Kidman gets on my nerves and I shy away from her depressing movies....And, Jennifer Lawrence and "Winter's Bone", I'll have to catch this one later.
UPSET WINNER - Michelle Williams
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Again, the previous awards say it all. This is the year of CHRISTIAN BALE. "Batman" totally convinced me that he was a "crack addict" ex-boxer and that's what acting is all about. However, my favorite performance was the delightful Geoffrey Rush in "The King's Speech". Totally moving and spectacular.
Mark Ruffalo was outstanding in "The Kids Are All Right" and Jeremy Renner gets his second nod in a row for his role in "The Town". Both roles are memorable. Again, I need to see "Winter's Bone".
UPSET WINNER- Geoffrey Rush
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
I've seen four out of these five performances. Never even heard of "Animal Kingdom" or Jacki Weaver until the nominees were named. MELISSA LEO will win her first Academy Award for her portrayal of an ambitious, white trash mom. She was so good, it was hard to believe she was acting. Amy Adams, always sensational, in the same movie doesn't hold a candle to Leo. Helena Bonham Carter...always quirky and always delivering her acting chops played a splendid "Queen Mum". Fourteen year old Hailee Steinfeld was nothing but amazing in "True Grit".
UPSET WINNER - Hailee Steinfeld.
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